Mean sentiment of scored headlines each day. Below the dashed zero line = net-negative news.
Realized close-to-close index return, aligned to the sentiment dates above.
Pearson correlation over a trailing 30-day window — how predictive sentiment has been lately.
Sorted most-negative first. Scored by Claude (claude-haiku-4-5).
| Score | Headline | Source | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.70 | Recession Warren Buffett indicator hits all-time high | finbold.com | Buffett indicator at record high signals severe overvaluation and recession risk. |
| -0.70 | Inflation data reinforces need for Fed to hike by 100 bps, says former Trump economist | youtube.com | Former Trump economist calls for 100bps hikes; strong inflation hawkish signal. |
| -0.60 | Zandi Says US Is ‘Uncomfortably Close' to Recession | youtube.com | Recession warning from credible analyst; material recession concern. |
| -0.60 | The Fed Needs To Invert The Yield Curve And Hike To Above 5% | seekingalpha.com | Hawkish call for higher rates; strongly contrarian to market. |
| -0.60 | 'INFLATION IS TICKING UP': Jamie Dimon flags a KEY economic concern | youtube.com | Jamie Dimon inflation concern from bank CEO signals macro vulnerability. |
| -0.60 | Blue Origin Rocket Blows Up. It's Bad News for the Space Stocks Boom. | barrons.com | Space stock boom disrupted by rocket failure; negative sentiment shock. |
| -0.60 | If It Walks Like a Bubble and Quacks Like a Bubble, Then It's Probably a Bubble | barrons.com | Bubble language strongly signals valuation/crash risk even if controversial. |
| -0.50 | Top euro zone countries see Iran inflation fallout broaden in May | reuters.com | Eurozone inflation rising signals broader geopolitical/energy cost pressures. |
| -0.50 | French Inflation Rises to More-Than Two-Year High as Energy Costs Intensify | wsj.com | French inflation at 2+ year highs signals broadening eurozone pressure. |
| -0.50 | The market is not set up to handle any Iran war curveballs, says fund manager | youtube.com | Fund manager warns market unprepared for Iran war escalation. |
| -0.50 | An Iran deal could actually trigger a painful stock-market selloff, despite Wall Street's optimism | marketwatch.com | Iran deal could trigger selloff despite optimism; warns of false relief. |
| -0.40 | Private credit roundup: paper losses deepen at lenders | reuters.com | Private credit paper losses deepen; credit stress signal. |
| -0.40 | How the ‘double scar' of past inflation woes and geopolitical shocks amid the Iran war is hitting consumers | cnbc.com | Inflation and geopolitical concerns weigh on consumer sentiment and spending. |
| -0.40 | What smart people are saying about AI ROI crunch: 'Where's the revenue?' | businessinsider.com | AI ROI crunch and revenue questions undermine AI mania thesis. |
| -0.30 | The Stock Market May Soon Regret the End of Earnings Season | barrons.com | Cautionary tone post-earnings; suggests rally may fade. |
| -0.30 | US Jobless Claims Tick Up To 215K, AI Tech Debt Binge | Real Yield 5/29/2026 | youtube.com | Jobless claims rise and debt concerns signal economic softening. |
| -0.30 | Trump Administration Wants Autos Under USMCA to Be at Least 50% Made in America | wsj.com | Stricter USMCA auto rules; protectionist friction for trade. |
| -0.30 | Blinded By Greed? | seekingalpha.com | Greed-warning headline; risk-off sentiment and valuation concern. |
| -0.30 | Canada GDP Dips 0.1% in First Quarter | wsj.com | Canadian GDP contraction; North American growth softening. |
| -0.30 | Wall Street awaits payrolls data as rate hike risks return to focus | invezz.com | Rate hike risks returning to focus after period of Fed optimism. |
| -0.30 | Job Market Jitters as AI Demand Grows: Markets Snapshot | youtube.com | AI job market disruption raises labor/social policy risks. |
| -0.30 | Iran knows THIS is its ONLY leverage, Wall Street Journal columnist says | youtube.com | Iran leverage discussion raises geopolitical deal uncertainty and risk. |
| -0.20 | SBA Clarifies And Narrows Its Crackdown On Small Business Investors | forbes.com | Regulatory narrowing may ease small-business friction slightly. |
| -0.20 | RAMpocalypse: After Huge Rally, What I See Happening Next In The Chip Sector | seekingalpha.com | Chip sector caution after huge rally; suggests pullback risk. |
| -0.20 | Emerging Markets Won't Protect You From AI Mania | wsj.com | Warns emerging markets won't hedge AI mania; signals concentration risk. |
| -0.20 | Inflation-Wary Investors Pour Into Short-Dated Bond Funds | wsj.com | Inflation-wary bond flows signal investor shift away from equities. |
| -0.20 | 7 Consumer Stocks You May Be Thinking of Buying But Shouldn't | barrons.com | Consumer stock caution reflects discretionary spending weakness concern. |
| -0.10 | 'NO URGENCY': San Fran Fed president PUMPS BRAKES on rate cut and hike talk | youtube.com | Fed pumps brakes; suggests policy on hold, neutral tone. |
| +0.00 | Is That It? | seekingalpha.com | Vague rhetorical question; no market-moving information. |
| +0.00 | Stock Market Off and Running? Strategies to Avoid FOMO | seeitmarket.com | FOMO framing is sentiment color, not macro substance. |
| +0.00 | Earnings, always and forever, drive markets, expert says | youtube.com | Generic observation that earnings matter; no directional signal. |
| +0.00 | What's Next for Blue Origin After Rocket Explosion | nytimes.com | Single company setback; not market-moving by itself. |
| +0.00 | What Historically Happens to Stocks When the Fed Goes Silent in Summer | fool.com | Historical context on summer seasonality; informational, not directional. |
| +0.00 | The ‘Three A's' are keeping the economy afloat during Iran war. Is it enough to avoid recession? | marketwatch.com | Three pillars holding economy; hedged on recession; mixed tone. |
| +0.00 | The Great Parenthesis: The 2 IPOs Of The Century | seekingalpha.com | IPO commentary; no clear directional macro signal. |
| +0.00 | Tokens or humans? The new corporate trade-off | cnbc.com | Tech transformation framing; philosophical, not market-moving. |
| +0.00 | Week Ahead for FX, Bonds: U.S. Jobs, ISM Data in Focus | wsj.com | Calendar preview of data releases; informational, not directional. |
| +0.00 | The Market's Mood Ring: How NDX Options Skew Reveals Wall Street's True Feelings | seekingalpha.com | Sentiment analysis commentary; meta-color, no directional substance. |
| +0.00 | Fed's Bowman Wary of Reacting to Short-Term Energy Inflation | wsj.com | Bowman caution on rate hiking; neutral policy stance. |
| +0.00 | 'HE'S RIGHT': Big bank CEO BACKS Warsh's critique of the Fed | youtube.com | Bank CEO backs Fed critique; internal debate, no clear signal. |
| +0.00 | There's a record disconnect unfolding in the trading pits right now | cnbc.com | Market disconnect observation; data-dependent, not directional. |
| +0.00 | EMA recommends next season's COVID vaccines should target XFG variant | reuters.com | COVID vaccine variant update; health-related, not macro-market driven. |
| +0.00 | After another record sessions, US stocks look set for quiet start | proactiveinvestors.com | Post-record sessions, quiet start is neutral market-color, not directional. |
| +0.00 | IndiGo reports quarterly loss as costs surge and capacity falls | invezz.com | Single airline loss is company-specific, not macro market-moving. |
| +0.00 | This strategist is using prediction-market shifts to calculate what happens when an Iran deal is announced | marketwatch.com | Prediction market analysis is neutral market color without clear direction. |
| +0.00 | Chart Of The Day: Amid U.S.-China Struggle, Where Should You Turn? | seekingalpha.com | Chart day on US-China struggle is neutral geopolitical/sector analysis. |
| +0.00 | Rule changes may only yield modest Fed balance sheet contraction | reuters.com | Fed balance sheet rule changes yield modest impact; neutral technical. |
| +0.00 | Malacca: The Strait Nobody's Watching | seekingalpha.com | Malacca strait mention is geopolitical context; unclear direct impact. |
| +0.00 | First Quarter Earnings: Sharpening Sector Divergence | seekingalpha.com | Sector divergence recap is neutral earnings-season color. |
| +0.00 | Bridging The Earnings Void: Key Interim Reports To Watch Next Week | seekingalpha.com | Earnings preview is routine market reporting, not directional. |
| +0.00 | Dow Jones, Nasdaq And S&P 500 Intraday Levels: Memorandum Is Finalized, But Its Agreement Is Still Pending | seekingalpha.com | Pending Iran memorandum with unfinalized agreement is unclear/neutral. |
| +0.00 | Fundstrat's Tom Lee explains the 'three market phases' he is watching this year | youtube.com | Fundstrat market phases framework is analytical; neutral without directional call. |
| +0.00 | Dow Jones, Nasdaq And S&P 500 Intraday Levels - Memorandum Is Finalized But Its Agreement Is Still Pending | seekingalpha.com | Pending Iran agreement remains unresolved; neutral status quo language. |
| +0.10 | Bonds May Finally Be Ready to Give Stocks a Run for Their Money | barrons.com | Bonds gaining relative value; neutral-to-mixed risk signal. |
| +0.10 | How Upcoming Mega-Cap IPOs Could Reshape The Markets | seekingalpha.com | Mega-cap IPOs potential; speculative, mixed impact. |
| +0.10 | Needham's Chris Retzler on what's driving the rally in small caps | youtube.com | Small-cap rally is positive but modest equity market breadth signal. |
| +0.10 | Bank of America strategists see a different historical parallel for the AI rally — and it isn't the dot-com boom | marketwatch.com | Historical parallel debate is neutral; supports AI rally narrative mildly. |
| +0.10 | Dow futures rise 120 points: 5 things to know before Wall Street opens | invezz.com | Dow futures rise and positive opens are mildly bullish color. |
| +0.10 | Progressive Now No. 1 U.S. Private Auto Insurer For Full 12 Months, Estimates Show | seekingalpha.com | Progressive market share gain is company-specific positive, not macro. |
| +0.10 | Jim Cramer says these 3 mistakes are keeping investors out of AI winners | cnbc.com | Cramer advice on AI winners is positive sentiment but not decisive. |
| +0.20 | Review & Preview: The Nasdaq's Best 2 Months in Decades | barrons.com | Positive price action recap; modest bullish tone but backward-looking. |
| +0.20 | Earnings Analysis: US Exceptionalism | etftrends.com | US earnings strength mildly bullish for near-term market. |
| +0.20 | US, Mexico conclude first round of trade deal talks on autos, metals, security | reuters.com | Trade deal progress; mild geopolitical relief, constructive tone. |
| +0.20 | Stocks Close Out a Strong May | wsj.com | Strong May close recap; modestly bullish backward-looking price action. |
| +0.20 | What's next for investors after the AI rally supercharged stocks in May? | marketwatch.com | Retrospective on AI rally; bullish sentiment recap. |
| +0.20 | Stocks Rise as Trump Says He'll Make Call on Iran | youtube.com | Trump Iran signal reduces geopolitical risk; mild risk-on. |
| +0.20 | Wall St regulator proposes to scrap Biden-era climate rule | reuters.com | Scrapping climate rules favors energy and valuations; pro-business. |
| +0.20 | SEC Proposes Scrapping Climate-Related Disclosure Rules | wsj.com | Climate disclosure rollback reduces regulatory burden; mild bullish. |
| +0.20 | REGULATORY REVOLUTION: Atkins promises a new direction at the SEC | youtube.com | Deregulatory shift at SEC; pro-business, supportive of valuations. |
| +0.20 | Wedbush's Ives: Still less than 10-15% through AI revolution | youtube.com | AI narrative early innings; bullish long-term framing. |
| +0.20 | Dow rises 160 points as AI rally offsets Iran ceasefire uncertainty on Wall Street | invezz.com | Dow gains on AI rally; geopolitical offset mild. |
| +0.20 | Fed Governor Michelle Bowman warns against hiking interest rates because of inflation spike | cnbc.com | Against rate hikes; dovish tilt supportive for equities. |
| +0.20 | Another Tech Stock Is Set to Surpass Dot-Com Era Record. Don't Mention the 'B' Word. | barrons.com | Tech records imply strength but bubble language signals valuation caution. |
| +0.20 | AI and Space Stocks Are Going Stellar. One Play Is a Safer Bet. | barrons.com | AI and space rallies positive but selective sector strength, not broad. |
| +0.20 | Major Studios Shave Film Slate Costs By 2.8% To Help Boost Profit By 36.8% | seekingalpha.com | Studios reduce costs and boost profits; modest earnings power signal. |
| +0.20 | Chinese coking coal set for best week in six on supply fears after mine accident | reuters.com | Coking coal rally on supply fears; positive commodity/energy signal. |
| +0.20 | Mitsui seeks LNG investments to meet power demand from data centers, Bloomberg News reports | reuters.com | LNG investment for data center power demand supports energy/AI themes. |
| +0.20 | Review and Preview: Shrugging Off the Shock | barrons.com | Market shrugging off shocks implies resilience and positive sentiment. |
| +0.20 | This overvalued stock market just flashed a rare buy signal | marketwatch.com | Rare buy signal amid overvaluation suggests contrarian rally continuation. |
| +0.20 | Want an alternative to chip stocks? This sector with an AI angle is breaking out. | marketwatch.com | AI-adjacent sector breakout shows broadening tech rally momentum. |
| +0.20 | Reports of an Iran deal boost markets, new-car buyers are disappearing, and GDP growth slows. Read more in today's Markets P.M. | wsj.com | Iran deal positive, but GDP slowdown and car sales fall offset gains. |
| +0.30 | 'EARNINGS-LED MELT-UP': The market label turning heads on Wall Street | youtube.com | Melt-up language suggests positive sentiment, though headline-driven. |
| +0.30 | Trump's top Wall Street cop shoots down Biden-era climate rules for US firms | nypost.com | Deregulation favors equity valuations; pro-business sentiment. |
| +0.30 | Software stocks are crashing up. Here are the winners | cnbc.com | Software winners rally; sector strength mildly bullish. |
| +0.30 | Consumer And Retail: Better Than Expected Results And Outlooks Has XRT Primed To Outperform | seekingalpha.com | Retail beat and raise; consumer strength near-term bullish. |
| +0.30 | US stocks hit new highs as Trump signals decision on Iran deal nears | invezz.com | New highs and geopolitical resolution near; bullish momentum. |
| +0.30 | Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones 30 and S&P 500 Forecasts – US Indices Continues to Rise as Rates Drop | fxempire.com | Index gains and falling rates; bullish technicals and policy. |
| +0.30 | Jay Woods on Stock Market's "Run for the Ages" & Finding Quantum's "Floor" | youtube.com | Strong rally commentary; bullish sentiment, though backward-looking. |
| +0.30 | Nasdaq 100: Tech Stocks Drive US Stocks Higher as Oil Retreats Today | fxempire.com | Tech strength and oil retreat support near-term equity rally momentum. |
| +0.30 | US stocks set for further gains despite inflation concerns, says UBS | proactiveinvestors.co.uk | Despite inflation concerns, UBS bullish call supports near-term equity gains. |
| +0.30 | Big Banks Are Raking in Profits as Market Turbulence Shows No Signs of Easing | wsj.com | Bank profits rising despite turbulence signals financial system strength. |
| +0.30 | Tech Looking For Back-To-Back 10%+ Monthly Gains | seekingalpha.com | Tech momentum with 10%+ monthly gains sustains rally narrative. |
| +0.30 | AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Reappears | seekingalpha.com | AAII sentiment shift to optimism supports near-term equity momentum. |
| +0.40 | Dow closes above 51,000 as Dell-led AI rally lifts Wall Street | invezz.com | Dow surge and AI-led rally; near-term bullish momentum. |
| +0.40 | Stocks Surge In May: Why AI Euphoria Is Spreading, What It Means For Investors | seekingalpha.com | AI euphoria drove strong May; bullish sentiment, though potentially frothy. |
| +0.40 | Chicago Business Activity Surges in May | wsj.com | Strong business activity data; soft-landing signal. |
| +0.40 | Sell in May? Hardly. Tech Redefines the Old Wall Street Adage With Stunning Gains. | barrons.com | Tech gains contradict seasonal sell-off; positive momentum and sector strength. |
| +0.40 | Wall St extends rally on tech strength; Mideast deal stays in focus | reuters.com | Tech strength and potential Mideast peace deal both support rally. |
| +0.40 | Stock Market Today: Dow Futures Edge Up After Reports of Peace Deal | wsj.com | Peace deal reports lift markets; geopolitical risk reduction is bullish. |
| +0.40 | U.S. and Iran Are Close to a Deal | wsj.com | US-Iran deal proximity removes major geopolitical risk; bullish catalyst. |