Mean sentiment of scored headlines each day. Below the dashed zero line = net-negative news.
Realized close-to-close index return, aligned to the sentiment dates above.
Pearson correlation over a trailing 30-day window — how predictive sentiment has been lately.
Sorted most-negative first. Scored by Claude (claude-haiku-4-5).
| Score | Headline | Source | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.80 | Market Open: Stocks Fall, Oil Surges as Trump Threatens Iran • 7/29/26 | youtube.com | Trump-Iran tensions, geopolitical escalation, and oil surge risk-off. |
| -0.80 | An AI Market Correction Is Becoming a ‘Major' Credit Risk, Fitch Says | investopedia.com | AI credit risk warning from Fitch signals systemic financial stress. |
| -0.80 | Chipmaker Rout Drags Nasdaq 100 Near Correction | youtube.com | Chip rout dragging Nasdaq to correction signals major tech breakdown. |
| -0.70 | Why KOSPI And The Semiconductor Sector Is Crashing | seekingalpha.com | Semiconductor crash signals sector weakness; broader equity risk. |
| -0.70 | A Tired Tech Trade Looks Set to Sink the Stock Market | barrons.com | Tired tech trade sinking stocks signals broad market weakness risk-off. |
| -0.70 | Nasdaq-100 is on the edge of correction territory as semiconductor stocks take another beating | marketwatch.com | Nasdaq correction with chip rout signals major tech weakness risk. |
| -0.60 | More Than a Rate Decision: Consumers "Distrust" Fed as Inflation Rises | youtube.com | Consumer inflation distrust and Fed credibility erosion risk-off. |
| -0.60 | Even $64 Billion in Quarterly Profit Is a Disappointment for Chip Investors | wsj.com | Huge profits disappointing investors; capex concerns weigh heavily. |
| -0.60 | Oil Gains, Chip Stocks Extend Losses Ahead of Fed Decision Day | wsj.com | Chip losses extend; oil rally and Fed day uncertainty negative. |
| -0.60 | Oil jumps as U.S.-Iran resume strikes after a brief pause | cnbc.com | Escalating Iran-US strikes threaten crude, geopolitical risk spike. |
| -0.60 | We've never seen this level of uncertainty the day before a Fed meeting, says Bespoke's Paul Hickey | youtube.com | Record pre-Fed uncertainty is major red flag for market dislocation. |
| -0.50 | Hyperscaler debt binge pushes yields up as investor demand cools | reuters.com | Hyperscaler debt concerns and cooling investor demand negative. |
| -0.50 | Nasdaq 100 and S&P500: Can Futures Hold as Oil and Chip Risk Build? | fxempire.com | Oil and chip risks building; near-term downside pressure. |
| -0.50 | By the time the Federal Reserve meets, Wall Street usually already knows the outcome. That's not the case this time, as the Fed's rate-setting committee prepares to meet Wednesday | wsj.com | Unusual Fed uncertainty ahead of meeting elevates risk-off sentiment. |
| -0.50 | Investors Rotate Out of Chip Stocks | wsj.com | Investor chip exit signals tech bubble deflation, risk-off momentum. |
| -0.50 | The Fed should hike interest rates, says SMBC's Joe Lavorgna | youtube.com | Fed rate hike call conflicts rate-cut hopes, hawkish surprise. |
| -0.50 | Investors are piling into bond funds at a rapid rate. That's a problem. | marketwatch.com | Bond fund inflows signal stock market anxiety, risk-off rotation. |
| -0.40 | There's still risk to the downside for the Nasdaq-100, says Fairlead's Katie Stockton | youtube.com | Downside risk warning on Nasdaq-100; technical concern. |
| -0.40 | Explainer: What are credit default swaps and why are they spooking AI investors? | reuters.com | CDS spikes and credit stress concerns spook risk appetite. |
| -0.40 | Morgan Stanley Bankers Were Pressured to Approve Mortgages for Wealthy Clients | wsj.com | Mortgage approval pressure suggests lending standards risk and stability concerns. |
| -0.40 | Volatility Trends to Monitor & Ways Fed Will Rattle VIX Momentum | youtube.com | Elevated volatility ahead of Fed meeting signals heightened uncertainty. |
| -0.40 | Non-Tech Stocks Could Be Headed for a Downturn | barrons.com | Non-tech downturn risk signals broad economic weakness ahead. |
| -0.30 | Fed Expected to Hold Rates, But Warsh Could Shock the Street | youtube.com | Warsh potential shock adds uncertainty to expected steady rates. |
| -0.30 | Semiconductor Forecasts – AI Stocks Test Support Ahead of Fed | fxempire.com | AI stocks testing support ahead of Fed; weakness signal. |
| -0.30 | Can Markets Survive Big Tech Earnings, Fed Rate Call, Iran Fears Today? | barrons.com | Multiple major risks confluence (earnings, Fed, geopolitics) uncertainty. |
| -0.30 | China regulator to meet solar industry on curbing competition, local media reports | reuters.com | Solar competition regulation suggests margin pressure in renewables. |
| -0.30 | The "Wall Of Worry" And This Correction | seekingalpha.com | Correction discussion with wall-of-worry suggests market stress. |
| -0.30 | Jim Cramer says Wall Street is fleeing the AI trade and buying these stocks instead | cnbc.com | Wall Street fleeing AI trade signals tech bubble deflation risk. |
| -0.30 | U.S. Stocks Mixed as Chips Rout Continues | wsj.com | Stocks mixed with chip rout ongoing; weakness outweighs gains. |
| -0.30 | Seth Ginns on Clarity Act's Stall & Interest Rate Impacts on Crypto | youtube.com | Crypto regulation uncertainty and rate impacts create headwinds. |
| -0.30 | ‘DANGEROUSLY LOW': Grave concerns over US military stockpiles | youtube.com | Military stockpile concerns create geopolitical risk-off sentiment. |
| -0.20 | First Financial: Strong Q2 But Limited Upside Given Valuation (Rating Downgrade) | seekingalpha.com | Downgrade offsets Q2 strength; valuation concerns dominate. |
| -0.20 | Warsh's rate decision is a cliffhanger. These trades might offer a clue | cnbc.com | Warsh rate decision uncertainty; cliffhanger adds volatility risk. |
| -0.20 | Thousands of Audi workers protest over threatened plant closure | reuters.com | Audi plant closure protests signal European auto sector stress. |
| -0.20 | The dollar's rally matters — but it still won't help Fed's Warsh win the inflation fight | marketwatch.com | Dollar rally and inflation persistence complicate policy path. |
| -0.20 | Saudi Arabia has a new, and pricier, workaround to export its oil | marketwatch.com | Higher crude workaround suggests supply-cost inflation headwind emerges. |
| -0.20 | Mining equities lag metals rally as tech crowding, war risk weigh on juniors | John Feneck | kitco.com | Mining lag amid tech crowding and war risk suggests uncertainty. |
| -0.20 | Shein Discloses FTC Investigation Into Fast-Fashion Retailer's U.S. Operations | wsj.com | FTC investigation of retailer adds regulatory risk to consumer sector. |
| +0.00 | Alger Mid Cap Focus Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Review | seekingalpha.com | Portfolio activity review; no macro signal. |
| +0.00 | Trump's Crypto Bonanza Is Biggest Clarity Act Hurdle | youtube.com | Crypto policy clarity; minimal broad equity market impact. |
| +0.00 | Barnes and Noble CEO: 'The Odyssey' is Our Best-Selling Book | youtube.com | Book sales anecdote; no systemic market relevance. |
| +0.00 | Grant Thornton Advisors to Buy CBIZ for $3 Billion | wsj.com | M&A deal; no significant macro signal. |
| +0.00 | Calamos Global Convertible Fund: Q2 2026 Contributors And Detractors | seekingalpha.com | Fund holdings review; no market-moving signal. |
| +0.00 | Dow and Nasdaq stock set for another mixed open ahead of Fed decision | proactiveinvestors.com | Mixed open expected; neutral market color. |
| +0.00 | Grant Thornton to buy professional services firm CBIZ in $5 billion cash deal | reuters.com | M&A deal in services; no systemic equity signal. |
| +0.00 | Reweighting The Dow Jones Industrial Average | seekingalpha.com | Index reweighting; mechanical adjustment, no signal. |
| +0.00 | Vision Capital Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity | seekingalpha.com | Fund portfolio activity; no macro implication. |
| +0.00 | Chart Of The Day: Now, That's What I Call Market Rotation | seekingalpha.com | Rotation observation; technical color without directional signal. |
| +0.00 | Conestoga Small Cap Composite Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity | seekingalpha.com | Portfolio activity update; no market signal. |
| +0.00 | Coherent: Right Thesis, Wrong Timing - Why We're Staying At Buy After A 34% Drawdown | seekingalpha.com | Single stock valuation disagreement, not macro-relevant. |
| +0.00 | Performance Insights - July 2026 | seekingalpha.com | Generic performance review without market-moving content. |
| +0.00 | NeoGenomics, Inc. (NEO) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | seekingalpha.com | Earnings transcript without headline sentiment indicator. |
| +0.00 | Audi continues U.S. product push with three-row Q9 SUV | cnbc.com | Auto product launch is firm-specific, not macro. |
| +0.00 | Asian Currencies Consolidate Ahead of FOMC Decision | wsj.com | Currency consolidation before FOMC is positioning, not fundamental. |
| +0.00 | Australia's Perpetual says EQT's $1.78 billion bid not in best interests of shareholders | reuters.com | M&A dispute is company-specific; no macro signal. |
| +0.00 | Review & Preview: ‘One Big Global Trade' | barrons.com | Vague review-preview commentary without directional bias. |
| +0.00 | Big tech debate is moving away from capital spending to capital structure: Plexo Capital's Lo Toney | youtube.com | Big tech debate shift is sector rotation, not index direction. |
| +0.00 | The Market Is Emotional - You Should Profit From It | seekingalpha.com | Emotional market observation without directional market view. |
| +0.00 | Barnes & Noble CEO on Strategy, Book Sales and Possible IPO | youtube.com | Retail CEO commentary; no macro market relevance. |
| +0.00 | Latigo Biotherapeutics Commences IPO Process For Pain Treatment Pipeline | seekingalpha.com | Biotech IPO process is company-specific, not index-moving. |
| +0.00 | Citi Teams With Infor to Debut Invoice Processing Tool | pymnts.com | Tool launch; no macro or market-wide signal. |
| +0.00 | Celestica Inc. (CLS:CA) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | seekingalpha.com | Earnings call transcript without sentiment direction. |
| +0.00 | 44 states are aligned on one thing in their fight against prediction markets. It's about sports wagering | cnbc.com | State prediction market regulations are niche policy, non-market-moving. |
| +0.00 | Dorchester Minerals: Strong Buy As Forward Yield Approaches 18% | seekingalpha.com | High yield MLP valuation call; sector-specific, not macro. |
| +0.10 | Fed Likely Holding Interest Rates Unchanged Today—But Some Dissent Expected | forbes.com | Stable rates expected; potential dissent adds minor uncertainty. |
| +0.10 | Wall Street's ‘Big Wednesday' Offers Big Test to Summer Rotation Trade | barrons.com | Rotation trade test could be market-moving but uncertain outcome. |
| +0.10 | Russia to extend diesel export ban, but could lift it quickly if situation improves, sources say | reuters.com | Russia diesel ban flexibility signals modest geopolitical easing. |
| +0.10 | Aston Martin reports narrower second-quarter loss | reuters.com | Aston Martin loss narrowing; marginal automotive improvement. |
| +0.10 | Interface: Execution And Innovation Continue To Drive Growth | seekingalpha.com | Single company growth execution; minimal index impact. |
| +0.10 | Ardagh Metal Packaging: EBITDA Outperformance Supports Further Upside | seekingalpha.com | Single firm outperformance; modest positive for that name only. |
| +0.10 | Nikkei Rises 0.9%, Led by Chip, Auto Stocks | wsj.com | Asian tech gains modestly positive but not broad index move. |
| +0.10 | Mark Zuckerberg Blasts Centralization of A.I. Power | nytimes.com | Pro-competition AI stance mildly positive for tech competition. |
| +0.10 | Value Outperforms Growth This Year, Powered By | wsj.com | Value outperformance suggests modest sector rotation, slight positive. |
| +0.10 | Natgas producer Expand Energy beats second-quarter profit estimates | reuters.com | Single energy beat positive but non-systemic. |
| +0.10 | The Market Lost Its Mind, But You Shouldn't | seekingalpha.com | Market emotional excess but sustainable, mildly reassuring tone. |
| +0.10 | The U.S. will import Mexican cattle again. Here's what that means for high beef prices. | marketwatch.com | Mexican cattle imports modestly positive for beef prices, consumer. |
| +0.20 | Economy is poised to show strong second-quarter growth — but only after a look under the hood | marketwatch.com | Strong Q2 growth supports economic resilience, mildly constructive. |
| +0.20 | Lemonade: Favorable Reinsurance Shift And Pushing Toward Profits | seekingalpha.com | Favorable shift and profitability push mildly positive for insurer. |
| +0.20 | New Fed focus on money supply might aid inflation thinking at the margins | reuters.com | Money supply focus aids inflation fighting; marginal policy positive. |
| +0.20 | Saudi Arabia's Sabic Narrows Loss on Higher Selling Prices, Despite Lower Volumes | wsj.com | Saudi chemical company narrows losses; Gulf resilience signal. |
| +0.20 | Buy The Dip: 3 Top European AI Stocks | seekingalpha.com | European AI stock dip-buy suggests tactical buying opportunity. |
| +0.20 | Mark Zuckerberg Says U.S. Should Accelerate AI Development, Not Restrict It | wsj.com | Pro-business AI stance mildly positive but non-binding. |
| +0.20 | Dow jumps over 540 points as earnings, lower oil offset chip selloff | invezz.com | Mixed bounce on earnings offsets chips; net neutral-positive. |
| +0.20 | Trump Administration Moves to Spare Space Companies From Environmental Reviews | wsj.com | Reduced environmental rules aids space sector, pro-growth policy. |
| +0.30 | AI Capex Hits A Tipping Point As Investors Demand More Corporate Discipline | seeitmarket.com | Investor discipline demand suggests AI capex cycle maturing positively. |
| +0.30 | The Average Stock Is At Another New All-Time High | seekingalpha.com | New all-time highs suggest continued broad equity strength. |
| +0.30 | Vans-Owner VF Raises Sales Guidance after Quarterly Loss Narrows | wsj.com | Raised guidance despite loss; positive forward signal. |
| +0.30 | Hermes Sales Pick Up as Luxury Sector Eyes Upswing | wsj.com | Luxury sector upswing; consumer strength in high-end segment. |
| +0.30 | Birkin bag maker Hermes posts 7% rise in quarterly sales | reuters.com | Luxury sales rise; affluent consumer health constructive. |
| +0.30 | AI race redraws Asian air cargo, replacing e-commerce as growth engine | reuters.com | AI cargo boom signals strong capex cycle continuation. |
| +0.30 | SpaceX, Blue Origin could get quicker launch approval under FAA move to waive environmental rules | cnbc.com | Waived environmental rules accelerate space company launches, growth positive. |
| +0.40 | Corporate Earnings Strength Helps Offset AI Doubts And Geopolitical Risk | seekingalpha.com | Earnings strength offsets geopolitical worries; moderately constructive tone. |
| +0.40 | The Market Is Afraid Of Capex But It's An Accumulation Opportunity | seekingalpha.com | Capex weakness viewed as accumulation opportunity; contrarian bullish. |
| +0.40 | June shipments of foreign branded phones in China jumped 66.3%, CAICT data shows | reuters.com | China phone imports surge; consumer tech demand strengthening. |
| +0.40 | Renewables firm EDPR's recurring first-half profit jumps 33%, driven by US business | reuters.com | Renewables profit surge; clean energy transition momentum. |
| +0.40 | Trump administration to ban new Chinese robots and inverters, protecting US AI buildout | reuters.com | Banning Chinese AI inputs protects US AI buildout, growth-positive. |
| +0.50 | Hyperscalers Deserve The Benefit Of The Doubt And Doomsday Predictions Are Wrong | seekingalpha.com | Bullish case for hyperscalers rejects doomsday AI narratives. |
| +0.50 | Morning Bid: US profit growth mushrooms | reuters.com | Profit growth surge supports economic strength narrative. |
| +0.60 | ‘Nothing seems to shake this market.' Why it's time to go all-in on stocks, according to these bullish strategists. | marketwatch.com | Market resilience bullish strategist call; risk-on sentiment. |
| +0.60 | Australia Inflation Cooled in Second Quarter | wsj.com | Inflation cooling is bullish for Fed easing, market recovery. |